What happened in 2016 was Dragon Some Day I Feel Like I’m Surrounded By Idiots Other Days I Realize It’s Not Just Some Days Shirt an unlikely. Aligning of the stars for Trump. Both candidates had high unfavorable, but Trump manages to heavily win those who hated both candidates. Why? Because he was seen as an outsider at the time. And we were coming off 8 years of a Democratic president. Trump lost the popular vote by a large 2.1 point margin. He just got elected by 70,000 votes spread across 3 states. It wasn’t because of some amazing campaign strategy, it was because Clinton was a poor candidate and slightly different turnout in those 3 key states.
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These people also ignore the 2018 midterms, which saw a massive Democratic swing, and the fact that reelection campaigns are referendums on the sitting president more than they are on the challenger. This all puts Biden in a much stronger position than Clinton ever was. Yep, and Clinton basically ignored those states during the campaign. If she had campaigned. There is a Dragon Some Day I Feel Like I’m Surrounded By Idiots Other Days I Realize It’s Not Just Some Days Shirt bet. She would have won. Biden will obviously not make the same mistake considering those are now the obvious swing states. That the polls called the election wrong for the first time in 70 years is what really threw people. Sadly, despite everything you said is true, I think reception bias will make 2016 stand out for a long time.
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