But the polls Goat That’s What I Do I Drink Coffee I Hate People And I Know Things Vintage Shirt really didn’t. National polls were pretty good and got the margin pretty much spot on. Yes, they were off in 3 states, it just so happened that those 3 states were what flipped the election. That said, I think this bias will disappear if the polling is accurate in 2020 and Biden wins. It’s just annoying to have to listen to this revisionist history about 2016 in the meantime. I would tend to only go with polls of likely voters in Texas since the turnout is abysmally low (which favors the Republicans). And you know they’ll suppress the vote as much as possible to keep it that way.
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Biden would have to be +10 among likely voters, 2 weeks out, with barely any undecideds for me to believe it haha. The polls did not “call the election wrong.” That isn’t how polls work. They show the odds of outcomes. If I flip a coin 10 times, odds are it’ll be close to 50/50. But would you be Goat That’s What I Do I Drink Coffee I Hate People And I Know Things Vintage Shirt that surprised if it was 8-2? Nope. 538 has good resources on reading polls. Added Texas after the news this morning that Biden is +5 there, and reading more about it. I still doubt Texas goes blue in 2020, but if it did. And Biden won any of the other states, that is it for 2020. We have hope. Make sure you are registered and make it a priority to vote if you are in any state. But especially if you are in any of the 8 states above.
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