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It’s to counter the Owl I Read A Book Yesterday And The Day Before Shirt propaganda. Trump supporters are incentivized to spread articles like this since it increases the likelihood of supporters making greater efforts to go out to vote (i.e. even in extenuating circumstances) and decreases the likelihood that Republicans who plan to vote Blue stay home. Thank you. I’m sick of the doom and gloom. I want to see him winning polls because it fires me up and gets me excited to vote. I’m super excited about Biden, his policies, and his malleable stances where he’s willing to listen. When I run simulations, Trump currently has a 1:10 chance of winning reelection based on current polls. That doesn’t mean Trump is guaranteed to lose even if the polls are accurate. Remember.
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Trump had a 1:4 chance of winning the election based on 538’s last simulation in 2016. Which means Trump winning wasn’t entirely unexpected given the polls. So everyone needs to vote. When it comes to Owl I Read A Book Yesterday And The Day Before Shirt the polls, the national average means nothing. Pay attention to the polls in the States. Biden currently shows pretty strong leads in a bunch of key battleground states and appears to show some competitiveness in some historically strong Republican-leaning states. We know from the various tell-all campaign books that Bill had warned Hillary early on and again in the late game to please pay attention to those rust belt states but she quite inexplicably blew them off in a fit of pure hubris.
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