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I wonder how much of the Pittsburgh Pirates Wash Your Damn Hands Coronavirus Shirt COVID 19 rapid increase can be attributed to people testing and definitively saying that’s what the person passed away from. Before we knew better people very well might have been passing away from it and we didn’t know. Great point! There was a good post about this last week. It had a map with testing per 1000 people by state. Louisiana, for example, is testing more than most states and reported cases are higher. Arkansas for comparison is testing at a much lower rate and has no government-mandated precautions such as stay at home. There are likely hundreds of infected people in Arkansas that haven’t been tested.
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Some context that this data doesn’t take in account is the Pittsburgh Pirates Wash Your Damn Hands Coronavirus Shirt kind of deaths, the big majority of COVID 19 deaths are people often 80+ that are already terminally ill, often with overweight and smoker lungs. Whereas Ebola, for example, could strike you down in the prime of your life. All pandemics are terrible but deaths without context are slightly misleading. A relative worked in a senior home during SARS. They lost 25 of 100 residents due to the disease, in a very short time frame. Now, if I made a general statement “in my wife’s workplace, 1/4 of the people died due to SARS”. That’s terrifying.
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But if I put the Pittsburgh Pirates Wash Your Damn Hands Coronavirus Shirt numbers in context “25 of 100 residents died in a senior home, all of which had preexisting conditions and were over the age of 75”, the numbers aren’t as upsetting. But we don’t get that from the media. This seems kind of pointless since COVID-19 is a pandemic. Not that it’s necessarily possible, but it should be compared to other pandemics. I had no idea there was a meningitis epidemic in 2009. It was in Africa, but that’s when I caught it while living in San Francisco. This is only as good as the data and likely misleading. World wide data quality is highly suspect for lots of reasons including infrastructure differences.
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