The 538 models closed at around 35% which for Wolf If You Kick Me When I Am Down You Better Pray I Don’t Get Up Shirt a one-off event is basically a tie. Then every one gave Nate shit for being “wrong”. You don’t just have to beat pro-Trump voters. But you need enough votes to beat all the shady shit that’s going to be pulled to try to keep Trump in. Except for the polls in 2016 were within the MOE and the polls today are showing Biden consistently ahead in battleground states by 10 points. Claiming the situation is exactly the same is just wrong. And the favorable/unfavorable of the Democratic candidate is night and day compared to 2016. Biden is not even remotely close to Hillary in terms of unpopularity.
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It’s pretty clear even journalists don’t understand how polls work. For one, they’re not predictions. They’re just snapshots of public opinion at a given point in time. It doesn’t account for gerrymandering, voter suppression. The electoral college, or Wolf If You Kick Me When I Am Down You Better Pray I Don’t Get Up Shirt poor data collection. Due to the fact, the GOP has been spreading conspiracy theories about mail-in voting many more Republicans will probably vote in person. This could lead to a situation where essentially it looks as. If the vote has gone to Trump during one stage of the counting process. But absentee ballots that are counted much later swing the state to the dems. In this scenario, if its close overall trump will claim fraud. And shut down the election in his favor.
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